Massimo Guidolin
Full Professor

Biography
Massimo Guidolin is Full Professor of Financial Econometrics at Bocconi University and at SDA Bocconi.
He teaches portfolio management, asset pricing theory, empirical finance, derivative pricing and econometrics in graduate courses and in the Executive Master in Finance and in the Master Corporate Finance.
Massimo has published in top economics, econometrics, and finance outlets such as the American Economic Review, the Journal of Financial Economics, the Journal of Econometrics, the Review of Financial Studies, the Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, and the Economic Journal. He serves on the editorial board of a number of journals, among them the Journal of Financial Econometrics (Oxford University Press), the Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control (Elsevier Press), the International Journal of Forecasting (Elsevier), and the International Review of Economics and Finance (Elsevier). His research spans a number of topics, going from non-linear time series models (such models with regimes, thresholds, and structural breaks) in finance and macroeconomics, methods and models in forecasting, applied dynamic portfolio choice in the presence of predictable asset returns, empirical option pricing, and asset pricing models with learning and belief dynamics. He has given several practitioner-oriented talks on smart beta and its application in long-term portfolio construction.
Massimo holds a Ph.D. from the University of California, San Diego (2000). His curriculum lists periods of employment with the University of Virginia as an assistant professor in financial economics, the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis at first as a senior economist and then as an Assistant Vice-President (Financial Markets), and the Accounting and Finance departments of Manchester Business School and then of University of Liverpool Management School as a chair full professor in Finance.
Recent Publications
- 2025
Time-varying risk aversion and international stock returns
GUIDOLIN, M., E. HANSEN, G. CABRERA, "Time-varying risk aversion and international stock returns", The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 2025, vol. 75, pp. 102271 - 2025
Nonlinear Dynamics in Monetary Policy-Fueled Stock Market Bubbles
MAGNANI, M., M. GUIDOLIN, "Nonlinear Dynamics in Monetary Policy-Fueled Stock Market Bubbles" in FMA Annual Meeting, October 22-25, 2025, Vancouver, Canada - 2024
Do US Active Mutual Funds Make Good of Their ESG Promises? Evidence from Portfolio Holdings
GUIDOLIN, M., M. MAGNANI, "Do US Active Mutual Funds Make Good of Their ESG Promises? Evidence from Portfolio Holdings", Risks, 2024, vol. 12, no. 2, pp. 41 - 2024
Machine Learning in Portfolio Decisions
GUIDOLIN, M., "Machine Learning in Portfolio Decisions" in Artificial Intelligence and Beyond for Finance., Marco Corazza, René Garcia, Faisal Shah Khan, Davide La Torre, Hatem Masri (Eds.), World Scientific Publishers, chap. 1, pp. 1-72, 2024 - 2024
Strong vs. stable: the impact of ESG ratings momentum and their volatility on the cost of equity capital
MAGNANI, M., M. GUIDOLIN, I. BERK, "Strong vs. stable: the impact of ESG ratings momentum and their volatility on the cost of equity capital", Journal of Asset Management, 2024, vol. 25, no. 7, pp. 666-699 - 2024
Forecasting the CBOE VIX and SKEW Indices Using Heterogeneous Autoregressive Models
GUIDOLIN, M., G. F. PANZERI, "Forecasting the CBOE VIX and SKEW Indices Using Heterogeneous Autoregressive Models", Forecasting, 2024, vol. 6, no. 3, pp. 782-814 - 2023
The Predictability of Real Estate Excess Returns: An Out-of-Sample Economic Value Analysis
GUIDOLIN, M., M. PEDIO, M. T. PETROVA, "The Predictability of Real Estate Excess Returns: An Out-of-Sample Economic Value Analysis", Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 2023, vol. 67, pp. 108–149 - 2023
The dynamics of returns predictability in cryptocurrency markets
BIANCHI, D., M. GUIDOLIN, M. PEDIO, "The dynamics of returns predictability in cryptocurrency markets", European Journal of Finance, 2023, vol. 29, no. 6, pp. 583-611 - 2023
The empirical performance of option implied volatility surface-driven optimal portfolios
GUIDOLIN, M., K. WANG, "The empirical performance of option implied volatility surface-driven optimal portfolios", Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2023, vol. 618, pp. 128496 - 2023
New ESG rating drivers in the cross‐section of European stock returns
BERK, I., M. GUIDOLIN, M. MAGNANI, "New ESG rating drivers in the cross‐section of European stock returns", Journal of Financial Research, 2023, vol. 46, no. S1
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